Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 205.292173 247.750414 301.378371 375.978213 480.351449 6.267863e+02 8.592960e+02
2024-12-29 158.569159 209.119896 282.548008 404.230705 618.427571 1.025977e+03 2.035841e+03
2025-01-05 126.344719 174.337079 249.407695 386.947027 667.127051 1.334080e+03 3.839007e+03
2025-01-12 109.207623 156.206673 234.292815 390.227525 753.906260 1.848969e+03 9.130569e+03
2025-01-19 95.450951 140.041254 217.413695 382.255284 810.820757 2.407499e+03 2.460625e+04
2025-01-26 90.583248 137.334851 223.235577 423.288369 1034.048407 4.321853e+03 1.110687e+06
2025-02-02 89.129969 140.056994 239.804010 497.798963 1468.697610 1.122533e+04 NaN
2025-02-09 81.378877 129.877537 227.586626 492.827207 1601.442197 1.846989e+04 NaN
2025-02-16 75.967459 123.277209 221.555752 503.140360 1836.372739 4.073705e+04 NaN
2025-02-23 71.129602 117.084448 215.115375 509.831501 2081.053884 1.176587e+05 NaN
2025-03-02 67.350449 112.475472 211.385501 524.170758 2430.014031 1.168681e+06 NaN
2025-03-09 64.172030 108.666063 208.802933 541.899263 2885.824823 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 58.731076 100.067582 194.204063 514.658336 2932.316202 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 56.683851 98.449875 197.163793 559.221577 4047.766055 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 52.301779 91.271004 184.233124 531.775355 4116.943103 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 49.529315 87.295325 179.164174 536.964138 4846.856886 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 46.523669 82.483097 170.985231 524.370813 5233.994746 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 45.960578 83.054574 177.902591 589.781366 8671.768859 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 46.387026 85.938705 192.339661 712.236269 21748.089892 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 44.061826 82.063257 185.415963 703.920805 26497.331785 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 42.397292 79.612587 182.565956 721.192697 39909.718944 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 40.767727 77.088735 179.047071 732.445491 61089.982873 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 39.452722 75.212684 177.335962 756.684027 118697.024606 NaN NaN